The Internal Rate of Return is the most comprehensive return metric in commercial real estate because it accounts for the time value of money across the entire investment hold period. IRR considers the timing and magnitude of all cash flows: initial investment, annual operating cash flows, capital expenditures, refinancing proceeds, and disposition proceeds.
Year 0: Initial investment (negative cash flow). Years 1-N: Annual operating cash flow (NOI minus debt service minus capex). Year N: Disposition proceeds (sale price minus selling costs minus loan payoff). IRR is the rate that discounts all these cash flows to a net present value of zero.
Using unrealistic terminal cap rate assumptions; ignoring transaction costs at disposition; not modeling lease rollover risk during the hold period; assuming constant NOI growth without lease-level modeling; failing to account for capital expenditure timing.
Accurate IRR modeling requires granular lease-level income projections (from abstraction) and detailed expense modeling (from financial spreading). Each tenant's escalation schedule, renewal probability, and market rent relationship contributes to the year-by-year cash flow forecast that drives IRR.
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